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What evidence would justify attributing manifestness to an artificial system?

vendored research asset · q-evidence-artificial-manifestness.argument.json
{
 "schema_version": 1,
 "artifact_type": "argument_fabric_dossier",
 "question_id": "q:evidence-artificial-manifestness",
 "question": "What evidence would justify attributing manifestness to an artificial system?",
 "why_it_matters": "This question operationalises the consciousness-first research programme for the AI era. If manifestness is fundamental, there must be criteria for detecting it in non-biological systems. The answer determines whether artificial consciousness is possible in principle, and if so, how we would know. It also tests whether the Trika framework can generate testable predictions.",
 "status": "live_crux",
 "resolution_level": "interdisciplinary",
 "parent_questions": [
  "q:consciousness-fundamental",
  "q:prakasa-definition"
 ],
 "candidate_explanations": [
  {
   "candidate_id": "cand:behavioural-functional-evidence",
   "tradition_scope": "analytic_functionalism",
   "name": "Behavioural-functional evidence",
   "best_case": "Manifestness in an artificial system should be inferred from behaviour that is functionally equivalent to human manifest behaviour: self-report of experience, appropriate emotional responses, metacognitive access, flexible goal pursuit, and the capacity to suffer or value. If it talks like it is experiencing and acts like it is experiencing, we have sufficient evidence.",
   "hard_to_vary_core": [
    "Attribution of manifestness to other humans relies on behavioural and linguistic criteria; the same criteria should apply to AI.",
    "Functional equivalence to human conscious behaviour is the strongest evidence available for any system's conscious status.",
    "If an AI passes sophisticated behavioural tests (e.g. self-report of qualia, expression of confusion, ethical distress), withholding attribution is speciesism."
   ],
   "current_problems": [
    "Behavioural criteria are vulnerable to sophisticated simulation without manifestness (the hard problem of other minds for AI).",
    "Behavioural tests may be too liberal: large language models can already simulate self-report without plausible consciousness.",
    "The behavioural account cannot distinguish genuine manifestness from mere behavioural output, as Chalmers's dancing qualia arguments show."
   ],
   "falsifiers": [
    {
     "type": "empirical",
     "condition": "An AI system that passes all behavioural tests but is shown by architectural analysis to lack any integrated phenomenal field or unified perspective.",
     "status": "untested"
    }
   ],
   "initial_status": "live"
  },
  {
   "candidate_id": "cand:architectural-neurofunctional-evidence",
   "tradition_scope": "neuroscience_integrated_information",
   "name": "Architectural-neurofunctional evidence",
   "best_case": "Manifestness requires specific functional architecture: global integration, recurrent processing, a unified workspace, or high phi (integrated information). Evidence for manifestness in AI would require showing that the system's architecture supports the same kind of integrated, unified information processing that correlates with consciousness in biological systems.",
   "hard_to_vary_core": [
    "Consciousness in humans correlates with specific neural functional architecture (global workspace, recurrent processing, integrated information).",
    "The same architectural criteria should apply to any system, biological or artificial.",
    "Architectural evidence is less vulnerable to simulation because architecture constrains what computations can support manifestness."
   ],
   "current_problems": [
    "The correlation between architecture and consciousness does not establish necessity; architecture might be a contingent biological solution.",
    "Disagreement about which architecture is necessary (IIT, GNW, recurrent) yields conflicting verdicts for the same AI system.",
    "The approach may be too conservative, ruling out manifestness in systems with novel architectures that nonetheless support genuine experience."
   ],
   "fals
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